Summary: Our guest this week is Jack Allweil. Jack wrote a book called "Make Better Bets: An Actuary's Quest to Bet the Russian 2018 FIFA World Cup with Excel." We talk to Jack about his book, and his experience betting the last World Cup.<br><br>We welcome your questions - send them to us at <a href="mailto:gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com">gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com</a>, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or <a href="https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge" rel="noopener">https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge</a><br><br>Show Notes <br>[00:00] introduction Jack Allweil, author of Make Better Bets<br>[00:35] Betting on soccer<br>[03:04] Using a model with few variables<br>[05:31] Time spent on the model, benefits of a passion project<br>[07:14] How much data from 2018 will be relevant in 2022?<br>[09:22] Other potential variables, like country popularity skewing lines, VAR reviews<br>[11:16] Getting bets down<br>[12:50] Analyzing the 2018 results<br>[15:03] Betting on all four teams in a group<br>[18:08] Line shopping<br>[20:33] Relocating to bet more easily<br>[21:58] How did losing a job change Jack's life?<br>[24:20] Jack's wife, Elena<br>[25:52] Betting other soccer leagues<br>[27:03] What's the next big thing that Jack will be betting on?<br>[28:38] South Point Casino January Promotion - $500k Spin to Win<br>[31:12] <a href="http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com" rel="noopener">http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com</a> - card counting training site and advantage play community with software and tracking tools<br>[31:45] <a href="http://VideoPoker.com/gwae" rel="noopener">http://VideoPoker.com/gwae</a> - Gold Membership offers correction on most games, free Pro Membership trial for GWAE listeners<br>[32:58] Choosing the name Make Better Bets<br>[34:59] Kelly criteria<br>[37:26] Betting as a married man<br>[39:33] Brothers on Books podcast<br>[40:53] Contacting Jack<br>[41:47] Recommended: Cryptonomicon by Neal Stephenson, Libby app for libraries, Wall Street Bets by Jaime Rogozinski<br><br>Sponsored Links:<br><a href="http://SouthPointCasino.com" rel="noopener">http://SouthPointCasino.com</a><br><a href="http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com" rel="noopener">http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com</a><br><a href="http://VideoPoker.com/gwae" rel="noopener">http://VideoPoker.com/gwae</a><br><br>Books Referenced:<br>Make Better Bets by Jack Allweil <a href="https://amzn.to/3Ahb56M" rel="noopener">https://amzn.to/3Ahb56M</a><br><br>Guest Links:<br><a href="http://Podcasts.apple.com/ar/podcast/the-brothers-on-books-podcast/id1557162870" rel="noopener">http://Podcasts.apple.com/ar/podcast/the-brothers-on-books-podcast/id1557162870</a><br><br>Recommended:<br>Cryptonomicon by Neal Stephenson <a href="https://amzn.to/33uaId7" rel="noopener">https://amzn.to/33uaId7</a><br><a href="http://Libbyapp.com" rel="noopener">http://Libbyapp.com</a><br>Wall Street Bets by Jaime Rogozinski <a href="https://amzn.to/3qNVckM" rel="noopener">https://amzn.to/3qNVckM</a><br>Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
