Summary: This week there were 23 games that Vegas was off by 2 TD’s or more. This should set up value for future weeks. What is interesting is 5 of the teams on this list just moved to the list in week 8 for not covering the spread by more than 2 TD’s. Proving our theory a bit. In my eyes there are 3 teams to possibly fade. Iowa State, Notre Dame, and Boston College, Arizona, FAU, and others. Utah State 3x (3 of last 6) – moved to the not cover list last week.Florida Atlantic 5x (4 of last 5) – covered the spread againNotre Dame 5x (4 of last 5 weeks had a bye)Iowa State 5x (4 weeks in a row)Miss State 4x (2 weeks in a row)Boston College 3x (last 3 weeks) 38, 38, 22 point covers ATSArizona State 3x (2 out of 3 weeks) – just moved to the not cover list.Arizona 3 x (2 out of 3 weeks)Marshall 3x (3 of last 5 weeks) – just moved to the not cover list last week.Ohio State 3x (3 of last 5 weeks had a bye)Wash State 2x (2 of last 4) – just moved to the not cover list last week.Nevada 2x (2 of last 4)Arkansas State 2x (2 out of the last 3) – covered again last week by 12.5.Fresno State 2x (2 out of the last 3 weeks) – just moved to the not cover list last week.Pittsburgh 2x (2 weeks in a row)FIU 2X (2 out of L3 weeks)Missouri 2 weeks in a row
