Summary: The idea of fading these team's because we are not getting good value in their numbers, because most people are going to back them is a good idea. You will definitely get the value side by fading these teams, but it may not always pan out and this is just part of the recipe. I dug a little deeper and went back over the last six years to see how the pre-season top 10 did overall. Season ATS 2012 - 56-71 ATS (4 out of 10 had winning ATS records)2013 - 58-62 ATS (4 out of 10 had winning ATS records)2014 - 64-71 ATS (4 out of 10 had winning ATS records)2015 - 61-72 ATS (4 out of 10 had winning ATS records)2016 - 66-63 ATS (4 out of 10 had winning ATS records)2017 - 70-61 ATS (7 out of 10 had winning ATS records) Overall record was 375-400 ATS which is not a crazy advantage at 48.39%, actually it's very close to the break even win % you need to show a profit if you blindly faded all of these teams.
