Poll Hub

In this episode of Poll Hub, truth.   Based on results from the Exclusive Third Rail with OZY-Marist Poll, the Poll Hub team discusses whether or not honesty is alive and well in American society. Together with political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, and Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist Poll, address the prevalence of lying in everyday life, even at the highest level of American society – the Presidency.  Included here is an in-depth discussion about the truthfulness of President Donald Trump, Americans’ views about the president’s degree of honesty, and whether world leaders should believe what President Trump says versus what he does. 

In this episode of Poll Hub, the debate over DACA. According to a new Marist Poll, a majority of Americans disapprove of President Donald Trump’s move to end DACA, similar to the findings of other recent surveys.  What does it mean when the polls converge?  Can the average poll consumer trust the results?  Does question wording matter?  The Poll Hub team takes a deep dive into the issue. Then, Poll Hub gets wonky.  Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, and Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, pull the curtain back on sample size and share with political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper what a margin of error really means.  Plus, what do soup and polling have in common?  The Poll Hub crew explains this seemingly odd analogy.

In this episode of Poll Hub, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion and Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, discuss with political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper, the poll’s decision to go into the three Rust Belt States that helped put President Donald Trump over the top in the 2016 election. According to the latest NBC News/Marist Polls of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, President Trump is having difficulty in the states that made the difference for him last November. In each of these battleground states, the president’s job approval ratings stand in the 30’s.

Though it may seem inherently contradictory, the generic ballot question can provide very specific information about the electorate and its mood. But, as the Poll Hub team discusses, analysis of the generic ballot question cannot occur in a vacuum. It must be discussed in light of the president’s job approval rating. On this episode of Poll Hub, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, and political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper, expound upon recent historical precedent which indicates that the lower the president’s job approval rating is, the worse the president’s political party performs in the midterm elections. As such, the generic ballot question acts as a measurement of the brands of the Democratic and Republican parties.

Since George Gallup begun measuring public opinion in 1935, the modes and methods of conducting public opinion polls has changed by leaps and bounds. In this episode of Poll Hub, together with political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper, Dr.