Poll Hub

  The Marist Poll has just released comprehensive data both nationally and in the upper Midwest. In this edition of Poll Hub, the team provides a detailed analysis of the electoral climate. In the latest NBC News/Marist Poll numbers of Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, President Donald Trump’s approval rating is upside down. Trump surprised pundits when he narrowly carried Michigan in 2016. With an open seat governor’s race on the line, Senator Debbie Stabenow up for her fourth term, and multiple initiatives on the ballot, there are signs Michigan could revert to blue. The team picks up the analysis including a discussion of the key demographic groups on which to focus this midterm season. In Minnesota, Hillary Clinton narrowly defeated then candidate Trump. This electoral cycle, Minnesota Republicans face an uphill climb. Though Tim Pawlenty is well-positioned to win the Republican nomination in his quest to re-claim the governorship, he trails his potential Democratic-Farmer-Labor opponents in hypothetical general election contests. The Poll Hub team assesses the contest plus looks at Tina Smith’s chances to win the U.S. Senate seat she inherited from former Senator Al Franken. Which groups drive the narrative in Minnesota? We’ve got that answer. In Wisconsin, where the Tea Party helped propel Governor Scott Walker to victory in 2010, Walker now faces possible defeat in his current re-election bid. Plus, many say Walker does not deserve to be re-elected. What’s going on? Plus, a look at whether or not Paul Ryan’s constituents approve of President Trump’s job performance in this episode of Poll Hub. Then, a look into the NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll national survey findings. In a survey conducted completely after President Trump’s meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, the poll uncovers Americans’ attitudes about the United States’ relationship with Russia, the legality and ethics of President Trump’s interactions with the nation, and whether or not Americans want President Trump to be tougher in his dealings with Russia. Like the upper Midwest, President Trump’s approval rating nationally is upside down, but Republicans stay committed to him. The president’s silver lining is the economy. What does this all mean in the context of the midterm elections? We answer that question plus explain the emerging role of women, Democrats, and voters under 30. A busy day for Poll Hub. About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hub is produced by The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of The Marist Poll), and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at The Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.  

Following the Trump/Putin Summit and the President's European allies trip, there has been bipartisan outrage over Trump's friendliness towards Russia. Some have called the President's performance traitorous, disgusting, worrisome - but there's no evidence that Congress, led by Republicans, will actually do anything. And that's probably smart politics on their part. And why did 538.com's Nate Silver describe the Axios story on their own Survey Monkey poll of battleground state Senate races in 2018 this way? The Axios treatment of this poll is basically "How to repeat all the errors the media made when covering polls in 2016, in one chart". We've got a pretty good idea. Then our Director of Data Management and Technology, Stephanie Calvano, helps us understand how pollsters get their samples - and how that can dramatically impact the quality of polls. About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hubis produced by The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America's leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of The Marist Poll), and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at The Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.

  President Donald Trump nominated Judge Brett Kavanaugh this week to succeed Justice Anthony Kennedy on the United States Supreme Court. In this episode of Poll Hub, the team enlists the expertise of Marist College President and legal expert David Yellen. Prior to his arrival at Marist College, President Yellen served as Dean and Professor of Law at Loyola University Chicago School of Law for 11 years and was a member of the faculty and served as Dean at Hofstra Law School. President Yellen provides perspective on the Kavanaugh nomination, its implications for the Court, and the hot-button issues on which the Court has ruled. He also offers insight into what we can expect from the confirmation process and comments on the suggestion that Supreme Court justices serve limited terms. As always, Poll Hub digs into the numbers and provides context to the Kavanaugh nomination. What do Americans think of the Supreme Court? Poll Hub has the answer.  

  Poll Hub celebrates its fiftieth episode! On this special episode, the Poll Hub team clears up a bit of confusion. Dr. Lee M. Miringoff found himself amid a Twitterstorm last week about comments he made during a recent interview on the Hill.tv’s, What America’s Thinking. Find out just what Dr. Miringoff did and did not say in reference to the analysis of 2016. Then, a look at Americans’ views about the media. Last week’s mass shooting at the Capital Gazette in Annapolis, Maryland brought renewed attention to President Donald Trump’s critical statements about the press. Do Americans agree? We break down the poll numbers. And, the role of excitement and demography in the outcome of the Democratic primary in New York’s 14th congressional district. Yep, we are still talking about Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s upset victory! About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hub is produced by The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of The Marist Poll), and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at The Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.  

  The Marist Poll and NBC News are at it, again – polling hotly contested midterm election contests. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the team breaks down the meaning behind the numbers. Which demographic groups are emerging as influential? Are notable proportions of voters persuadable? How do opinions of President Donald Trump fit into the electoral landscape? Plus, it’s up to you New York! We discuss the results of some of the most watched congressional primary races in New York State. And, we get wonky. How can respondents tell if they are taking a “push poll?” The Poll Hub team explains.  

During the spring semester at Marist College, The Marist Poll and the Poll Hub team welcomed four distinguished guests to campus as part of a special four-part series commemorating fifty years since 1968. 1968: The Year that Rocked American Politics focused on the tumultuous and tragic events of that pivotal year and its lasting impact on today’s political system. Each guest – E.J. Dionne, Jr. (syndicated columnist at The Washington Post and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution), Bob Herbert (journalist and writer and producer of the documentary, Against All Odds), Lynn Novick (co-producer and co-director with Ken Burns of the 10-part, 18-hour epic documentary, The Vietnam War), and Jeff Greenfield (author, journalist, and former aide to Robert F. Kennedy) -- brought their own unique perspective and expertise to the series. Their individual appearances can be heard in previous podcasts. In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we share a roundup of our recordings with these four guests and feature previously unreleased audio from each of their appearances. 1968: The Year that Rocked American Politics was presented in conjunction with the class of the same name taught by Dr. Lee M. Miringoff.  

  Perhaps, the great Yogi Berra said it best -- It’s deja vu all over again! The lack of distinction between public opinion polls and forecasters in 2016 created a false aura of inevitability around Hillary Clinton. Two years later, pollsters witness emerging, untested polling methods that run the risk of muddying the electoral narrative, once again. Are these polling techniques good or bad science? What do pollsters and analysts need to do to better communicate the meaning behind the numbers to the public? The Poll Hub team weighs in with special guest Harry Enten, Senior Writer & Analyst for CNN Politics. Then, The Marist Poll discusses a term to better explain what the electoral landscape looks like in some of 2018’s most competitive races. Find out who the persuadables are in this week’s Poll Hub. Plus, President Donald Trump is highly popular, at least among Republicans. What does that mean in 2018?  

In this episode of Poll Hub, Pallavi Gogoi, NPR’s Chief Business Editor, joins the table to discuss the latest NPR/Marist Poll results (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/6-7-the-digital-economy-summary-of-findings/). The just-released survey focuses on Americans’ shopping habits and the prevalence of online purchases. As the group reveals, Amazon leads the pack when it comes to online merchants, and shoppers place a great deal of trust in this online retailer. But first, Harry Enten, Senior Writer & Analyst for CNN Politics, shares the latest developments in the 2018 midterm elections. While Enten notes that talk of a “wave” is premature, certain themes are emerging. Enten discusses the role of women in the Democratic primary as well as what should and should not be included in a likely voter model.

Roseanne Barr’s racially charged tweet this week brought race relations back into the headlines. In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the team takes a look at how attitudes about race differ from generation to generation and how those views have evolved over time. Then, the Associated Press revised the AP Stylebook to include a chapter on polls. The Poll Hub crew speaks with Emily Swanson, Polling Editor at the Associated Press, about the decision to make the change and the key recommendations on polls and polling the AP now provides to journalists.

With five months to go until the congressional midterm elections, debate exists about whether or not the Democrats will create a blue wave. In this week’s Poll Hub, a look at the perceived schism within the Democratic Party. Are progressive candidates better positioned than moderate candidates to take on Republicans in the fall? Is there an enthusiasm gap? Is primary turnout an indicator of what’s to come in November? And, why might both parties lack a consistent message during the general election cycle? The Poll Hub crew addresses those questions and more. Then, yet another school shooting rocked the nation on Friday. According to the Pew Research Center, a majority of American teenagers are now concerned that a shooting will occur at their school. The Poll Hub team takes a look at the statistics and addresses why this school shooting differs from those in the past. And, what’s the future of polling? The Marist Poll’s very own Director of Research and Data Analysis, Mike Conte, joins the round table. He has a report from the 73rd annual conference of the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR).

The 73rd annual conference of the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) is underway in Denver, Colorado. In this episode of Poll Hub, special guest Randy Brown joined us from the conference to discuss the focus of his latest research. Brown, Vice President of Edison Research, explained how Edison’s measurement of Americans’ audio consumption yielded the conclusion that non-probability panels should not be the only method used when measuring online behavior. And, talk about creating buzz! How one Democratic candidate in the NY-19 race used a poll to gain attention. Was the tactic credible or incredibly misleading? The Poll Hub team breaks it down. Plus, what’s on pollsters’ minds going into the mid-term elections. Our experts share what they think the critical issues surrounding polling will be. Plus, bet on it! The U.S. Supreme Court opened the doors for states to permit betting on the outcome of sports events. Do Americans think that’s a good idea? Poll Hub has the numbers. About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hub is produced by The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of The Marist Poll), and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at The Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.

President Donald Trump recently cited a Reuters/Ipsos Poll to show his approval rating among African Americans is on the rise. But, even the organization behind the poll said, not so fast. In this episode, the Poll Hub team breaks down the controversy, analyzes the survey, and explains why the president’s argument was flawed. Also on the docket – the increased use of robocalls. Why these annoying solicitations and scams have a profound effect on the polling industry and where the field of survey research goes from here, on this week’s episode. Plus, the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) has released a guide for journalists to understand polls. The Poll Hub crew addresses why this is critical, especially in an election year.

In this episode of Poll Hub, what factors into pollsters decisions to poll? Why do some electoral contests have few public opinion polls? The team at Poll Hub breaks it down. Then, from the mailroom, the crew answers some of the most frequently asked questions about polls. From push polls to how participants are chosen, Poll Hub clears up the confusion and the misconceptions. And, Poll Hub celebrates a very special day at The Marist Poll with an annual tradition. The team shares the results of its yearly poll about age. Do Americans think Dr. Lee M. Miringoff is old now that he’s 67? Find out in this episode of Poll Hub.

Poll Hub and The Marist College Poll are pleased to present a special four-part panel series, 1968: The Year That Rocked American Politics. In this fourth and final installment of the series, the Poll Hub team welcomes author, journalist, and former aide to Senator Robert F. Kennedy, Jeff Greenfield. Through his unique lens as a staffer on Kennedy’s 1968 presidential campaign, Greenfield offers his observations on the shifting political terrain in 1968, the loss of hope of the 1960s, Kennedy’s decision to enter the presidential contest, the catastrophic events of the year that forever altered the course of American history, and the complicated relationship between Robert Kennedy and the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hub is produced by The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of The Marist Poll), and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at The Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.  

Poll Hub and The Marist College Poll are pleased to present a special four-part panel series, 1968: The Year That Rocked American Politics. In this third installment of the series, the Poll Hub team welcomes Emmy and Peabody Award winning filmmaker Lynn Novick. Novick, who is the co-producer and co-director with Ken Burns of the 10-part, 18-hour epic documentary, “The Vietnam War,” discusses the significance of 1968 in the conflict, the idea that there is not just one truth to the war, and how her experience working on this groundbreaking documentary influenced her view of the Vietnam War. The entire event was streamed live on Facebook as will our future conversation with author and political analyst, Jeff Greenfield. You can watch on our Facebook Page and if you follow us there, you’ll be notified when our next session goes live.