Ep.66 | Winter is coming and the air will be colder up high




The Property Couch show

Summary: Well, technically winter is already here. However, we will be talking about the <a href="http://tpcaustralia.wpengine.com/episode-028-is-the-property-market-oversupplied-whats-happening-in-the-lending-sector/">Property Market</a> in this episode and for all of you who are a fan of Game of Thrones, you’ve guessed it right. It’s not going to be a good news story.<br> Now, you’ve heard us talking about the danger of high-density developments before but this time, we are hoping to solidify our message by sharing some numbers with you. It is not a secret that we’ve seen a whole lot more of high to medium density apartments coming into the market in the last 24 months and a lot more will be completing in the next 18 months. Below is the table that Bryce and Ben were talking about in the podcast.<br>  <br> <br> <br> <br> Capital city<br> # of Unit Sales<br> Average Annual unit sales past 5 years<br> Total New Units next 12 mths<br> Total New Units next 24 mths<br> <br> <br> Sydney<br> 34,216<br> 43,442<br> 34,300<br> 81,696<br> <br> <br> Melbourne<br> 28,506<br> 30,781<br> 29,541<br> 80,503<br> <br> <br> Brisbane<br> 15,880<br> 14,932<br> 16,652<br> 44,511<br> <br> <br> Adelaide<br> 6,988<br> 6,195<br> 2,581<br> 6,002<br> <br> <br> Perth<br> 5,331<br> 6,834<br> 7,031<br> 13,797<br> <br> <br> Hobart<br> 1,026<br> 1,005<br> 201<br> 442<br> <br> <br> Darwin<br> 864<br> 1,026<br> 985<br> 1,256<br> <br> <br> Canberra<br> 3,384<br> 3,929<br> 811<br> 2,922<br> <br> <br> Combined<br> 96,195<br> 108,144<br> 92,102<br> 231,129<br> <br> <br> <br> * This data is an extract from CoreLogic’s article dated 16 May 2016 called ‘Record high unit construction increases settlement risk’. To read CoreLogic’s commentary, <a href="http://www.corelogic.com.au/news/record-high-unit-construction-increases-settlement-risk" target="_blank">please click here.</a><br> So how will this affect the Australian Property Market and its existing properties? Will there be a significant market correction and if so, should buyers stay off until this happens? Bryce and Ben will also be answering a question from Vlad:<br> John Symond on 3AW predicted a 10-20% fall in property prices if <a href="http://tpcaustralia.wpengine.com/ep51-labors-negative-gearing-changes-australia/">Labour’s policy on negative gearing</a> were to be implemented. Given the uncertainty, is it prudent to wait until after the election to make decisions about investing in property and to see, should labour win, what their sledgehammer will do to the market?<br>  <br> PS: We’ll also be holding a Live Q&amp;A Event on Wednesday, 29th of June at 8:30 pm. Check out our Facebook page for more information!<br> If you like this episode (Winter is coming and the air will be colder up high), don’t forget to rate us on our iTunes channel (<a title="The Property Couch - An Insider's Guide to Property Investing in Australia" href="https://itunes.apple.com/au/podcast/the-property-couch/id969904333" target="_blank">The Property Couch Podcast</a>) and our <a title="The Property Couch Facebook page" href="https://www.facebook.com/ThePropertyCouch" target="_blank">Facebook page</a>. Any questions or ideas? Feel free to drop us your thoughts here: <a title="New topics for The Property Couch" href="http://tpcaustralia.wpengine.com/topics/">http://tpcaustralia.wpengine.com/topics/</a><br>