Ep. 5: A Discussion of the First Presidential Debates, How We Value Evidence, A Few of PredictIt's Election-Related Questions, and We Revisit a Recent Black Swan Due to New Developments

Summary: Episode 5 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Atief, Robert, and Scott update their US election forecasts after the first debate, discuss what kind of evidence they find probative, and examine a handful of interesting US domestic politics-related questions in the PredictIt market. The episode ends with a revisit to a previous Black Swan given recent Saudi Arabia-related developments. (recorded 9/28/2016).