Ep. 6: Updated Election Forecasts, A Stroll Through a Selection of PredictIt's Political Questions, Some Long-Range Social Forecasts, and We Revisit a Black Swan in View of Recent Events in US Politics




NonProphets show

Summary: Episode 6 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Atief, Robert, and Scott update their US election forecasts, consider whether the prices of some politics-oriented PredictIt questions are too high, too low, or about right, and then discuss possible long-range events of broad social significance. The episode ends with a look at some possible US politics-related Black Swans. (recorded 10/14/2016).