Ep. 51: Incoming Ballistic Missile Alert




NonProphets show

Summary: Episode 51 of the NonProphets podcast in which Robert, Atief and Scott discuss: 00:30 Hawaii's Incoming Ballistic Missile Alert – How 38 minutes did not convince Robert to “Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb” 14:20 Problems With a Bloody Nose Strategy in North Korea 15:55 Roman Hagelstein – Superforecaster, uberforecaster, and unassuming good guy 19:20 The Phil Tetlock-Nassim Taleb Twitter War – The debate about “skin in the game” and “tail risk” 34:25 PredictIt – State of the Union questions 38:10 Passion Over Rationality 41:00 Running for the Doors – Why are so many Congressmen retiring? 46:34 Where the Mueller Investigation Is Heading As always, you may reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or nonprophetspod@gmail.com (mailto:nonprophetspod@gmail.com). (recorded 1/31/2018)