Macro Voices

An interview which was originally published on April 8, 2016 between Raoul Pal, founder of Real Vision and Edward Bonham Carter, Vice Chairman of Jupiter Fund Management Plc.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Paul Krake to MacroVoices. Erik and Paul discuss the bond market blowup in the context of the U.S. Presidential election, ripping up the investment playbook under a Trump presidency, violent rotation out of long-bond proxies into higher growth, higher rate assets, the resulting balance sheet and pension destruction from the rotation, potential for a disorderly rise in interest rates and the U.S. Dollar, gold losing its predictive ability and relevance, China debt dynamics and potential RMB devaluation in the context of limiting social unrest, and much more.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Dr. Harald Malmgren and Dr. Pippa Malmgren to MacroVoices. Erik, Harald, and Pippa discuss Trump's governance effectiveness in light of the enemies he has made on the campaign trail, sources and potential escalation of social unrest and riots in the aftermath of Trump's victory, the potential for Trump to galvanize the determination, grit, and work ethic of the American electorate, whether markets are prematurely jumping to the conclusion that Trump is necessarily inflationary, outlook for foreign relations with China, Russia, and Mexico, breakdown of the social contract and the collapse in the government's ability to function and meet entitlements, and much more.

An interview which was originally published on October 18, 2015 between Raoul Pal of Real Vision and Dr. Brett Steenbarger, Clinical Associate Professor of Psychiatry & Behavioral Science at SUNY Upstate Medical University.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Willem Middelkoop to MacroVoices. Erik and Willem discuss Willem's recent book The Big Reset and the coming monetary reset, China's strategic objectives and pushing for the use of SDRs as the global reserve currency, outlook for the coming secular commodity reflation cycle, Willem's call to buy precious metals and miners in January 2016, and much more.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Hugh Hendry to MacroVoices. Erik and Hugh discuss USD breakout and binary consideration of US economy's condition in a strong-dollar environment, Brexit contagion and likelihood of strong vs. weaker countries disbanding from the EU, the "time stop-loss" and when it's appropriate to pivot theses, global transfer from creditors to debtors via the machinations of QE, Hugh's response to Kyle Bass' China devaluation thesis, maintaining intellectual honesty in the face of professional ramifications, and much more.

An interview which was originally published on July 1, 2016 between Grant Williams of Real Vision and Kyle Bass, Managing Partner, Chief Investment Officer, Portfolio Manager, and Founder of Hayman Capital Management.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Robin Griffiths to MacroVoices. Erik and Robin discuss technical and cyclical frameworks for evaluating financial markets, hierarchy of cycles from seasonal variation to generational, potential panicked selloff in the trade-weighted U.S. dollar, outlook for global equities and central bank-induced flash crashes, gold's resistance at $1,400 and ability to shoot back to all-time highs, and much more.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Mark Yusko to MacroVoices. Erik and Mark discuss bearish outlook for and reserve status deterioration of U.S. dollar, the "Everything Bubble" and similarities to 2000, misplaced comparisons between Deutsche Bank and Lehman Brothers, exciting trends and generational opportunities in China retail and eCommerce, dangerous paradigm of buying stocks for yield and bonds for capital appreciation, and much more.

An interview which was originally published on July 20, 2016 between Grant Williams of Real Vision and Michael Lewitt, founder of The Credit Strategy Group and writer of The Credit Strategist, a popular and acclaimed investment newsletter.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Simon Hunt to MacroVoices. Erik and Simon discuss internal politcal wars within China stagnating economic growth, China's steady, step-wise approach to allowing firm bankruptcies, Internal IMF battle for RMB's inclusion in SDR, logic behind China's stockpiling of raw commodities and base metals, impending global stock market crash and economic reset within the next 5 years, and much more.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Michael Lebowitz to MacroVoices. Erik and Michael discuss the saving discipline that drives the virtuous economic cycle and sustains prosperity, a global economy untethered from demographics and productivity, outlook for negative interest rate policies, alternatives for savers throughout the demise of the virtuous cycle, Trump v. Clinton impacts on global financial markets, and much more.

An interview which was originally published on April 14, 2016 with Roy Sebag and Josh Crumb, co-founders of Bitgold, and Chief Executive Officer and Chief Strategy Officer of Goldmoney, respectively.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Alex Gurevich to MacroVoices. Erik and Alex discuss market reaction to latest FOMC policy decision, importance of placing current Fed actions in the context of historical rate-hiking cycles, egregiously cheap valuations on 10-year Treasury Notes, gold's positive risk-reward and return expectations in the coming years, China's $30 trillion private debt unwind and history of imperial collapse, and much more.

Erik Townsend and Aaron Chan welcome Raoul Pal to MacroVoices. Erik and Raoul discuss structural issues in LIBOR and Eurodollar markets as bullish for USD, update on Raoul's business cycle framework, 100% probability of recession following 2-term U.S. presidencies, Brexit contagion spreading into the rest of Europe, gold and USD pairs-trade timeline and expectations, precarious state of and systemic risk of the European banking sector, potential moonshot in soft commodities due to weather cycles, and much more.