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BT Financial - Chris Caton Market Updates

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The BT Cheif Economist, Dr Chris Caton provided insightful commentary into the current market conditions surrounding the global economic crisis. The podcasts provided by Chris and other BT experts discusses 3 minute updates of the financial and investment sector.



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Date Added 23-Mar-2009 Hits: 34 Rating: 0.00 Votes: 0

 

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Markets Update - Chris Caton Episodes -

Chris Thompson's 25 November 2009 update
Chris Thompson's update for 25 November 2009.
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Chris Thompson's 24 November 2009 update
Across the world markets appeared stronger overnight, with the US Dow Jones rising 1.3% and the S&P rising 0.9%. All major European markets also registered gains of around 2%. In the US, there is some expectation that interest rates might remain near zero until late 2010.
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Chris Caton's 23 November 2009 update
On Friday stocks were down in Europe for the fourth straight day. This followed in the US where the Dow closed down 0.1% and the S&P down 0.3%. For the week the Dow rose 1.5%, the S&P dropped 0.2%. The AUD is sitting at US 91.5 cents.
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Chris Thompson's 20 November 2009 update
Chris Thompson's 20 November 2009 update.
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Chris Thompson's 19 November 2009 update
Chris Thompson's 19 November 2009 update.
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Chris Thompson's 18 November 2009 update
Chris Thompson's 18 November 2009 update.
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Chris Thompson's 17 November 2009 update
Another strong session overnight - the Dow was up 133 points or 1.3%. The S&P 500, 1.4% and the NASDAQ up 1.3%. Not surprisingly, the Australian dollar is strong against the US dollar, up another half a cent. We should be in for a very strong start to our market, the SPI Futures point that way; up 49 points.
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Chris Caton's 16 November 2009 update
Dr Caton's update for 16 November : The US market up for the day, up for the week, and Australia can expect to be off to a good start on Monday morning.
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Chris Caton's 13 November 2009 update
Chris caton markets update
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Chris Caton's 12 November 2009 update
It was a good day but not a hugely busy session overnight across global markets. Beginning in the UK, the FTSE was up around .7% and the German DAX up 1%. In the US, shortly before close the Dow was up 0.4% (and that's four days in a row above the magical 10,000 mark) and the S&P was up 0.5% and flirting with the 1100 level.
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Chris Caton's 11 November 2009 update
This market report comes to you about ten minutes before the close in the US as I have a school run to make. Overall it was a non-descript night, with not much movement in European markets (UK FTSE and German DAX both increased by 0.2%) and US markets remaining flat. These figures might have changed at the final close, but not by much.
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Chris Caton's 10 November 2009 update
It was a great night all round, which shouldn't have been a surprise after the G20 announcement to continue stimulus and do whatever is necessary to keep growth moving. In Europe the FTSE was up more than 1% and in the US the Dow was up around 2% and S&P 2.2%. Both US indices are at highs for this current market upswing. The Australian market should kick on again from here.
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Chris Caton's 9 November 2009 update
The US rounded out a good week with a fairly flat day. The Dow was up 0.2% and the S&P up 0.3%. For the week both were up more than 3.0%. The US had a very significant piece of news to deal with on Friday, the monthly employment report. The job loss was close to expectations at 190,00 jobs. The unemployment rate for September was 9.8%, and for October is 10.2%. It is the highest unemployment rate in the US since April 1983. The Australian labour market report comes out on Thursday which will be a key input in to the decision on whether or not to raise interest rates.
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Chris Thomspon's 6 November 2009 update
Beginning in Europe the share markets rose with the FTSE up 0.3% and the German market up 0.7%. The US opened strongly, and continued up all day with the preliminary close numbers the Dow listed up 2.1% and the S&P up 1.9%. Jobless claims dropped again, and productivity growth in the non-farm business sector for the third quarter of the year grew at an annual rate of 9.5% which is phenomenal. The AUD sits around US 91 cents.
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Chris Thomspon's 5 November 2009 update
It was a good night in Europe with the FTSE up 1.4% and the German market up 1.7%. The US market flattered to deceive last night with the bears taking control in the last hour. The Dow finished up 0.4% and the S&P up 0.2%. The non manufacturing ISM fell for the month, and the statement from the FOMC re-affirmed to keep short term interest rates low for a long period of time. The Australian market will open up.
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Chris Thomspon's 4 November 2009 update
Beginning in Europe, the news wasn't positive with more murmurs of a UK bank bailout pushing the market down 1.4%, and the German DAX falling by 1.3%. In the US it was another mixed session with the Dow Jones slighty down (0.02%) and the S&P slightly up (0.02%). I think that's akin to an each way bet in racing lingo, if horses are still your thing. The Australian market should open mixed.
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Chris Thomspon's 3 November 2009 update
Overnight in Europe the FTSE closed up 1.2%, and the German DAX was up by 0.3%. In the US, it was an interesting session of conflicting forces. There were two pieces of noticeably good economic news ? construction spending rose by more than expected in the month of September ? it was up by eight-tenths of a percent; and as a result of that, it is likely that the Q3 GDP figure that we got last week would be revised up. The other thing that came in strongly was the so-called USM Manufacturing Index.
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Chris Thomspon's 2 November 2009 update
It was a big down day, the biggest in four months. The Dow finished down 2.5% and the S&P down 2.8%. For the week the Dow was down 2.7% and the S&P down 4%. For the month the Dow stayed flat, while the S&P fell by 2%. The AUD is sitting just below US 90 cents.
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Chris Thomspon's 30 October 2009 update
It was a good night. In the US the Dow was up 2.1%, the S&P up 2.3% and the NASDAQ up 1.8%. US GDP numbers signalled a 3.5% rise for the quarter ahead of expectations. US employment numbers showed further signs that unemployment may be beginning to peak. In Europe all the major markets closed higher more than 1%. The AUD is back up towards US 92 cents.
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Chris Thomspon's 29 October 2009 update
It was not a good day for risk assets. In the US the Dow closed 1.2% lower, the S&P and NASDAQ closed down 1.9% and 2.7% respectively. In Europe all markets closed more that 2% lower. Commodities are lower across the board. The AUD is now back below US 90 cents.
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Chris Thomspon's 28 October 2009 update
The news from markets over night was mixed. In the US the Dow was up .1%, and the S&P finished down .3% and NASDAQ down 1.2%. There was an unexpected fall in consumer confidence numbers which fell for the second month in a row. The AUD is sitting at US 91.6 cents.
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Chris Caton's 27 October 2009 update
There were small gains made in European markets. The FTSE opened up .2% and the Dax finished up .4%. The US had it's second down day. At the end of the session the Dow was down 1.1% and the S&P down 1.2%. The AUD came down and is now sitting at US 91.5 cents.
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Chris Caton's 26 October 2009 update
The US market continued it's topsy turby week with the market down for the day. The Dow fell by 1.1% and the S&P by 1.2%. For the week the Dow finished down .2% and the S&P .7%. The earnings that were released Microsoft and Amazon came in on the upside. The economic news that was released was existing home sales for the month of September which came in above expectations. The FTSE was up .7% and the Dax down .4%. The Australian market will open with a weak start for the week.
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Chris Caton's 23 October 2009 update
In Europe the market fell with the FTSE down by 1.1% and the German market down by 1.2%. The US, on the other hand, had a good night; and at the end of that, the Dow was up by 1.3%, and the S&P was up by 1.1%. The movement this week demonstrates, just my view, that you just can't afford to be out of this market at the moment. The AUD is currently sitting at US 92.7 cents.
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Chris Caton's 22 October 2009 update
Starting in Europe, the British and German markets both closed down overnight and this weakness translated through to the US market. Poorer than expected housing figures (specifically a fall in housing permit starts) out of the US also contributed to a soft day of trading, with the Dow and S&P slipping slightly. On the flipside, earnings numbers continue to come in strongly.
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Chris Caton's 21 October 2009 update
Starting in Europe, the British and German markets both closed down overnight and this weakness translated through to the US market. Poorer than expected housing figures (specifically a fall in housing permit starts) out of the US also contributed to a soft day of trading, with the Dow and S&P slipping slightly. On the flipside, earnings numbers continue to come in strongly.
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Chris Caton's 20 October 2009 update
It was another good session overnight, with the Dow Jones up 1% (and breaking the 10,000 barrier again) and the S&P 500 up around 1% also. 25 of 30 stocks in the Dow Jones rose overnight and the market was largely driven by favourable earnings reports. Around 135 companies are due to report this week. So far, so good.
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Chris Caton's 19 October 2009 update
A down day but an up week for international markets and no huge lead for the Australian market. Needless to say with the US market off on Friday, the Australian dollar fell, although it still sits at a very strong 91.5 cents.
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Chris Thompson's 16 October 2009 update
Well yet again, US markets were up; the Dow by 47 points, or 0.5%, and the S&P by 0.4%. The Nasdaq, though, was flat; while European markets did take a breather, and retraced somewhat. The Australian dollar has maintained its level of over 92 US cents, boosted by Glen Stevens' comments yesterday.
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Chris Caton's 15 October 2009 update
It was a good night in the US. At the end of it, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 1.5% and the S&P was up 1.8%. The good night in the US has unsurprisingly driven the Australian dollar higher yet again, and we now sit at an extraordinary 91.5 cents.
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Chris Caton's 14 October 2009 update
I'm on the road today and away from the hard numbers but it doesn't look like I'm missing much of the market activity in the US. The Dow closed reasonably flat, with a small 0.2% drop. That's nothing significant. Closer to home, the AUD is buying US0.905 cents. The Australian market won't be overly affected by the US today.
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Chris Caton's 13 October 2009 update
It was a quiet session overnight, as it was a federal government holiday in the US. The market finished up slightly with the Dow up .2%, and the S&P up .4%. The AUD is sitting at US90.6 cents.
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Chris Caton's 12 October 2009 update
The US market had a good day, to finish a good week. By the close of the session, the Dow was up by eight-tenths of a percent and the S&P by six-tenths; and that meant that the Dow rose by 4% for the week and the S&P by 4.5%. The gain in the US market on Friday night should get the Australian market off to a good start today.
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Chris Thompson's 9 October 2009 update
In Europe, markets were mostly up by more than 1%. In the US, the Dow was up 0.6%, the S&P was up 0.8%, and the NASDAQ 0.6%. Good news last night came on the economic front in the US, where initial jobless claims were lower than forecasted. The market had forecasted a number of 540,000, but the actual number was 521,000. The US dollar fell to its lowest value in over a year. The AUD dollar is now trading at well over US 90 cents. The weaker dollar also holds commodity markets; oil is back over $71 a barrel, and gold has continued its surge higher, now trading at $1,051 an ounce.
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Chris Thompson's 8 October 2009 update
The Dow Jones index barely moved by the end of the day, down 6 points although it was a negative territory all day. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ were slightly firmer rising by 0.3%.
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Chris Thompson's 7 October 2009 update
The Dow was up 132 points or 1.4%. The S&P also 1.4% and the NASDAQ 1.7%. In Europe, markets were even higher, with all major indices up well over 2%. The rise last night, coupled with the big increase of the day before, translates into the biggest two day increase in almost three months.
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Chris Caton's 6 October 2009 update
US shares rebounded overnight after four straight days of losses, with the S&P 500 Index finishing up by 1.5% and the Dow up a broadly similar amount. This will get the Australian market off to a good start today; our Futures index up more than 8% already.
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Chris Caton's 5 October 2009 update
The US market fell again. This was its sixth fall in seven days ? it wasn?t a huge fall; the Dow finished down by two-tenths of a percent, and the S&P down by 0.5%. The S&P, however, is still more than 50% above its early March low.
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Chris Caton's 2 October 2009 update
It was a poor start for the fourth quarter in the US , with the Dow finishing down 2.1% and the S&P down by 2.6%. This was the worst % drop in the market for three months and has again brought questions to about the strength of the recovery. There were three pieces of economic driving this: Ben Benake spoke on the subject of financial regulation, the ISM index of manufacturing fell in September, and jobless claims rose significantly, now standing at 505,100.
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Chris Caton's 1 October 2009 update
The final day of trade for the end of the month and the end of a quarter ended slightly down for the day after a key manufacturing index showing a continued contraction in manufacturing across the mid-west of America. It was a different story for the month and quarter though. The Dow closed the month up 2.3%, S&P up 3.6%. Quarterly, the gains were around 15%.
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Chris Caton's 30 September 2009 update
The FTSE in England was down by just a tenth of a percent, and the DAX in Frankfurt was down by four-tenths. By the close of the session, the Dow Jones industrial average was down five-tenths of a percent and the S&P 500 was down by two-tenths.
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Chris Caton's 29 September 2009 update
After three down days, Wall Street bounced back in a big way pulling back most of the losses from late last week. Most of the gains came on the back of increased Merger and Acquisitions talk. Europe was also strong and we can expect a reasonable day on the Australian market.
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Chris Caton's 28 September 2009 update
It was another down day in the US, the third in a row. The Dow was down by four-tenths for the session, and the S&P 500 by six-tenths. For the week, the Dow fell by 1.6%, and the S&P Index a bit more than 2%.
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Chris Caton's 25 September 2009 update
The US had it's second consecutive down night. The Dow fell .4% and the S&P down 1%. This is the worst two day fall in three months. There was a surprising fall in existing home sales which backed up by 2.7% for the month of August. The fall in the US will get the Australian market off to a poor start today. The AUD stands at US 86.5 cents.
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Chris Caton's 24 September 2009 update
A topsy-turvy night in US with mixed market reaction to Fed's latest meeting: US economy in better shape.Tick. Buy more mortgage securities.Tick. No clear exit strategy. Cross. End result? Indices finished down around 1%.
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Chris Caton's 23 September 2009 update
Another good session overnight with the Dow Jones 0.5% and S&P 500 Index up 0.7%, driven by feelgood feeling of economic recovery. The consistency of recent growth makes it a challenge to keep these daily updates interesting, but that's a good problem to have.
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Chris Caton's 22 September 2009 update
It was a quiet session. At the end of it, the Dow Jones average was down four-tenths of a percent, and the S&P 500 was down by 0.3%. Nothing too much to report here. Essentially, the market was just simply taking a breather after its more than 2% rise last week.
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Chris Caton's 21 September 2009 update
The US market continues to rise. The market finished a relatively good week with another up day. For the week all major index were up close to 2%. It was a very data intensive week, although not much economic data is expected to be released this week. In AUD is sitting at US 86.8 cents.
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Chris Caton's 18 September 2009 update
Overall it was a quiet night. European markets finished up, the FTSE .8% and the German market .5%. In the US the Dow finished down .1% and the S&P down .3%. Housing starts increased again in the month of August, and jobless claims fell in the most recent week. The AUD is sitting above US 87 cents.
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Chris Caton's 17 September 2009 update
The Dow finished the session up by six-tenths of a percent, and the S&P 500 Index up by three-tenths of a percent. So that will almost certainly get us off to a positive start today.
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Chris Caton's 16 September 2009 update
Another reasonably solid trading session overnight with the Dow Jones, S&P 500 indices up and retail trade, the Empire State Manufacturing Index and inventory sales in the US also moving higher. Ben Bernanke has suggested that 'technically' this recession is over. Technically, he may be right.
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Chris Caton's 15 September 2009 update
The FTSE finished up slightly by 0.2%, and the German market down slightly. The Dow Jones index was up by 0.2% and the S&P 500 up by 0.6%.
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Chris Caton's 14 September 2009 update
The Dow Jones Index for the session was down by 0.2%, and the S&P Index down by 0.1%. That left the S&P for the week up by about 2.6%, and the Dow up by about 1.7%.
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Chris Thompson's 11 September 2009 update
The Dow was up 80 points, or 0.8%; S&P 1%; and the NASDAQ 1.2%. In the US, the market was chaired by the weekly jobless claims number, which came in at 550,000, slightly lower than forecast by economists.
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Chris Thompson's 10 September 2009 update
It was a solid day for equities, racking up yet another tidy gain, the fourth in a row now. The Dow was up 50 points, or 0.5%, the S&P 0.8%, and the NASDAQ 1.1%. Earlier on, European markets were up by about 0.9%.
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Chris Thompson's 9 September 2009 update
In the US the Dow was up 56 points or .6%, while the S&P and NASDAQ were up by .9%. In Europe, markets were up by about .3%.
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Chris Caton's 7 September 2009 update
The local market should open higher today after the US and most of the major Euro markets closed out last week higher. The exception was in Germany - the DAX fell around 1.4%. The Australian dollar has also continued its impressive gains against the US dollar, now sitting at around 85 US cents.
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Chris Caton's 4 September 2009 update
After four successive down days the US equity market registered a positive move last night.The Dow finished up .7%, the S&P .9%, and the NASDAQ .8%. European markets were down slightly.
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Chris Caton's 3 September 2009 update
Overseas markets down but not by very much, this was the fourth successive down down for the US. The Dow and S&P were both down 0.3%. September is convetionally the worst month for the US share market, not October as some believe, and is the olny month with a negative average return for the past 80 years.
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Chris Thompson's 2 September 2009 update
Another down night overseas but the Australian economy is looking up with the release of new figures from Treasury.
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Chris Thompson's 1 September 2009 update
Equity markets ended a very strong August slightly low last night, with fears of a pullback in the Chinese economy resurfacing. The Dow was down 48 points, or 0.5%; the S&P down 0.8%; and the NASDAQ down 1%.
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Chris Caton's 31 August 2009 update
It was a quiet day to end out a quiet week in which overall the US market rose. On Friday the Dow fell back slightly by .4%, and the S&P fell back by .2%. There is a big week of data ahead in the US. The Australian economy continues to do surprisingly well, and there is chatter that interest rates could go up as early as October.
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Chris Caton's 28 August 2009 update
The US market began lower than it had closed on Wednesday. The price of oil rose and that drove energy stocks higher, by the time it was all over the Dow finished up .4% and the S&P up .3%. Second quarter GDP was released. Jobless claims feel for the week. The AUD is currently sitting at US 82.9 cents.
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Chris Caton's 27 August 2009 update
The US and Euro markets hardly moved for most of the day, despite data showing new home sales in the US jumped 9.6% for the month of July. The volatility predicted earlier in the week hasn't eventuated, but there's a growing feeling markets are now running a very taut line between unbridled optimism and a pull back to more conservative levels.
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Chris Thompson's 26 August 2009 update
Most equity markets rose again overnight as optimism continued that the global recession is ending. The Case-Shiller Index of House Prices reports a rise of 2.6% in the second quarter, the first quarterly increase since 2006. In our market SPI Futures are up again this morning by 16 points although the lower commodity prices could weigh on the market.
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Chris Thompson's 25 August 2009 update
Markets were strong again for the morning session but fell away in the afternoon, with the US closing flat and Euro markets ending 1% higher. The pullback was caused by a perspicacious view of the US financial sector and fears that there would be many more years of poor results ahead.
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Chris Caton's 24 August 2009 update
It was another good session on Friday. In Europe all major indexes were up more than 2%. For the week in the US the Dow and S&P were up about 2%. Existing home sales rose by 7.2% in the month in July. The Australian market will open up.
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Chris Caton's 21 August 2009 update
Markets continue to track an anything but a taut line this week, so far being two days down and two days up. Last night was an up night with the German, FTSE and US markets all closed higher. Jobless claims in the US rose, but new figures also showed manufacturing output is the strongest its been since 2007. Expect a reasonable day's trade on the Australian market.
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Chris Thompson's 20 August 2009 update
Markets were expected to struggle overnight after a big fall on Chinese market. News confirming oil stockpiles had dropped significantly (the biggest drop in 12 months) pushed oil prices, and the energy sector in general, higher and the market closed in positive territory. Falling oil stockpiles means the US is using more oil - a clear sign things are starting to get better.
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Chris Caton's 19 August 2009 update
Markets got back about half of what they had lost from yesterday's ephemeral downturn, with the FTSE index and German market both climbing around 1% and the US Dow Jones and S&P Indices also showing similar progress. The turnaround appears to be a combination of a general feeling that markets had fallen too far in recent days (so a slight correction up) and some better economic news out of the US.
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Chris Caton's 18 August 2009 update
It was a rough night. All the major European indexes finished down at least 2%. In the US the Dow was down 2% and the S&P down 2.4%. Although there was good economic news, the NAHB housing index was up to 18 in the month of August, which shows continuing stabilisation / recovery in the housing sector. The Empire State manufacturing index rose sharply and it's the highest it's been since November 2007.
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Chris Caton's 17 August 2009 update
The Dow and S&P indices both finished lower on Friday, rounding out a week that ended pretty much where it began. New indicators also showed a slight fall in consumer confidence. This seesawing of sentiment and market progress suggests the recovery will continue to be prolix.
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Chris Caton's 14 August 2009 update
It was a surprisingly good night in the US. The market wasn't up all that much, the Dow rose by .4%, and the S&P finished up .7%. The official retail sales figures for the month of July showed a fall of 0.1%. Jobless claims rose for the week. The Australian market should be off to a good start.
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Chris Caton's 13 August 2009 update
The US had an impressive day with the Dow Jones up 1.3% and S&P 500 rising 1.2% and holding handily above 1000. Trading was restrained in the morning session before markets took an audacious leap higher in the afternoon following some positive news on interest rates and economic stabilisation.
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Chris Caton's 12 August 2009 update
The markets pulled back a little overnight, with the US Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices trading around 1% lower. The main cause of this was a 3.5% fall in the financial sector. Despite the financial sector rallying around 35% in last month, some banking analysts have painted a glum outlook for the future. The pullback should flow through to the Australian market's financial stocks.
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Chris Caton's 11 August 2009 update
A little more meandering from the US market overnight, with the S&P and Dow Jones both finishing lower at the end of Monday's trade. There wasn't much of anything happening, no economic news, not much movement and some pretty thin trading levels.
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Chris Caton's 10 August 2009 update
In the US on Friday night, the Dow Jones and S&P Index both finished up little more than 1%, closing out the week around 2% up overall. The market took its cue from the July US labour market report, which was refreshingly good. That's not to say that the US didn't lose jobs, but the number of job losses was half what it was in June. Manufacturing also showed signs of improvement.
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Chris Caton's 7 August 2009 update
It's starting to feel a little like 'Groundhog Week' this week, with the US market falling slightly again for the third day in a row. Across the Atlantic, the UK FTSE reversed this trend, climbing by almost 1%. Other major European markets remained reasonably stable.
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Chris Caton's 6 August 2009 update
Overnight in the US the Dow finished down .4% and the S&P down slightly less. Factory orders for the month were up by .4%, a lot of the increase was price driven mainly because energy prices went up. In Australia, the labour market report is anticipated to show a further job loss of about 20,000 and the unemployment rate currently at 5.8% will go up. The AUD is sitting at US 84 cents.
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Chris Caton's 5 August 2009 update
The US had a relatively quiet session with Dow and NASDAQ still hovering above the 1000 and 2000 and only adding slightly to the previous day's high. New figures also show pending home sales in the US are rising, which is another indicator that things are getting back on track.
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Chris Thompson's 4 August 2009 update
A very significant night in the US with the S&P 500 index closing above the 1000 point mark and the Nasdaq hitting the 2000 mark. Only five months ago on March 5, the S&P was sitting on 666 - it's risen significantly since then. The UK market was also bouyed by good earnings reports, with the financial sector setting the pace.
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Chris Caton's 3 August 2009 update
Another night in which almost nothing happened but it was the best July in 20 years for the Dow Jones, and the best in 12 for the S&P which is up 46% from its early March low. It's almost certain the GDP in the United States will now grow - the recession in the United States is ending or has already ended.
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Chris Caton's 31 July 2009 update
It was a great night in the US. The Dow was up .9% and the S&P up 1.2%. Earnings reports continued to come in strongly. There were good reports coming in from Motorola, MasterCard and General Electric. The AUD also caught the wave and now sits at US 82.5 cents.
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Chris Thompson's 30 July 2009 update
A late rally in the US helped close the gap on what was a pretty ordinary session overnight. Both the Dow and S&P finished lower, and European markets were only slightly in the black. Commodity prices also fell, with crude oil dropping 6%. On a slightly more positive note, the rate of decline in the US appears to have slowed, although we're a long way from signs of positive growth.
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Chris Caton's 29 July 2009 update
A weak start in Europe and soft outlook for the futures market in US suggested the overnight session wasn't going to be great. In the end US markets closed only slightly down, with the Dow down 0.1% and the S&P 500 down 0.3%. The S&P 500 still up around 11% in the last two weeks. Case Schiller Index for house prices showed some improvement, although house prices in US in general are down for the year.
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Chris Caton's 28 July 2009 update
US and European markets were flat overnight, with most of the major indices closing without much movement. Good news from the US is that new home sales rose by 11%, one more sign the US housing sector is stabilising. The Australian Dollar has pushed through the $US 0.82 mark and we can expect the Australian market to open higher today.
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Chris Caton's 27 July 2009 update
The US had a strong week. On Friday the S&P and Dow finished up .3%. Both finished up more than 4% for the week. The AUD finished the week at US 81.7cents.
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Chris Caton's 24 July 2009 update
It was a great night in the US. All major index's were up 2%. The NASDAQ has now been up for 12 days in a row, which is apparently the longest streak since 1992. Jobless claims have clearly peaked and turned, which is another piece of evidence that the US recession is ending.
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Chris Caton's 23 July 2009 update
The extraordinary run in the US came to a halt last night after several successive nights of gains. The Dow fell .4% and the S&P closed close to flat. The news relating to home sales, particularly home prices for the month of June was quite good. That's one more sign of stabilisation in the housing sector in the US.
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Chris Caton's 22 July 2009 update
Rises in European markets and in the US have continued to keep the economic glass half full instead of half empty. The Down finished 0.8% higher, climbing over the 8900 mark. Expect the Australian market to follow the trend.
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Chris Caton's 21 July 2009 update
It was another strong night in the US with the Dow and S&P both up more than 1%. The US market closed at its highest level since early November last year. The S&P is now up more than 40% from its early March trough. A key contributor to this was the rise of the index of leading economic indicators for the third month in a row.
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Chris Caton's 20 July 2009 update
While it was a quiet night, it was a strong week. The Dow, NASDAQ and S&P all finished up 7%-7.5%. One piece of very good economic news in the US was housing starts for the month of June rose. This is the first quarter in three years that there has been a rise is housing starts.
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Chris Caton's 17 July 2009 update
It was another good night in the US. For the session the Dow finished up 1.1% and the S&P up .9%. This is mainly because Professor Nouriel Roubini has suggested that the worst is behind us and the recession will end this year. The AUD is sitting at US 80.5 cents.
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Chris Caton's 16 July 2009 update
It was a great night in the US with the Dow finishing up 3.1%, the S&P up 3%. European markets were up by a similar amount. The AUD is now sitting above US 80.0 cents.
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Chris Thompson's 15 July 2009 update
Highlights in the US overnight were the release of the Goldman Sachs quarterly earnings which ended up being even better than expected, and very good retail sales figures. The Dow finished up .3%, the S&P .5%, and the NASDAQ .4%. European markets finished up 1%. The Australian market yesterday had the best day it has had in months.
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Chris Thompson's 14 July 2009 update
After four straight weeks of decline, last night the equity markets in the US and Europe were up. The Dow finished up 2.3%, the S&P 2.5%, and the NASDAQ 2.1%. The Australian market has followed this lead and opened higher this morning.
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Chris Caton's 13 July 2009 update
The US had it's fourth down week in a row. For the week the Dow was down 1.6% and the S&P by 1.9%. The University of Michigan's measure of consumer confidence dropped quite considerably in the first half of July. The fall in confidence is owed by the fall in the share market, rising gasoline prices, and the June labour report.
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Chris Caton's 10 July 2009 update
It was a positive night across all major markets, with markets in the UK, Germany and US all finishing higher. It's an early call, but maybe we're starting to see some real signs of confidence that a genuine recovery is gathering momentum.
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Chris Caton's 9 July 2009 update
In the US the Dow finished up .2% and the S&P close to flat. This is driven by little economic information. In Australia the Labour Market report for the month of June is released at 11.30am, with the unemployment rate expected to rise.
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Chris Caton's 8 July 2009 update
It was a weak trading session for the US, the Dow down 1.9% and the S&P down 2%. The Australian dollar right now trading close to 79 cents.
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Chris Caton's 7 July 2009 update
It was a mixed night. In Europe the FTSE fell 1% and the German market fell 1.2%. In the US the Dow was up .5% and the S&P up .3%, while the NASDAQ fell .5%. The AUD is sitting at US 79.7 cents.
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Chris Caton's 3 July 2009 update
Markets did not do well overnight. The UK FTSE finished down 2.5%, and the US Dow by a similar amount. The S&P was down 2.9%, it is now back below where is was on 31 December 2008. In the US the unemployment rate has gone up to 9.5%. There will be no market report on Monday, as the US market is closed on Friday 3 July 2009.
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Chris Caton's 2 July 2009 update
Overnight the positive news began in Europe, with the FTSE up 2%. This was followed in the US with the Dow up .6% and S&P up .7%. In Australia the balance on goods and services report will be realised today at 11.30am, which should show deficit of $500m.
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Chris Caton's 30 June 2009 update
The Dow was up by 1.1% and the S&P by 0.9%. European markets were also up, and the Australian dollar was trading at 80.7 cents.
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Chris Caton's 29 June 2009 update
In the US the week closed with the Dow down by 1.2% and the S&P down by .3%. The week ahead will be a short week, as the US will be celebrating the 4th of July on the 3rd of July.
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Chris Caton's 26 June 2009 update
The US had a good session overnight. The Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ were all up 2.1%. Australian markets will be off to a good start today, with the AUD rising back above US 80 cents.
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Chris Thompson's 25 June 2009 update
Overnight European markets all ended up in positive territory. In the US the Dow lost 23 points, and the S&P and NASDAQ were up 0.7% and 1.6%. The Australian market will open strong this morning.
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Chris Caton's 24 June 2009 update
It was a fairly quiet night. In Europe the FTSE fell by .1%, and the German market was up .3%. In the US the Dow was down .2%, and the S&P up by .2%. The AUD is sitting at US 79.4 cents.
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Chris Thompson's 23 June 2009 update
Following on from a new report from the World Bank predicting that the global recession would be deeper than previously forecasted, global stocks and commodities fell back significantly. The bank is now estimating a contraction of 2.9% in 2009 for the global economy rather than it's earlier forecast of 1.7%. The Dow was down 2.4%, the S&P down by 3.1%, and the NASDAQ down 3.4%.
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Chris Caton's 22 June 2009 update
There was not much movement in the US. The session finished with the Dow down by .2% and the S&P up by .3%. There was no economic news driving this result. For the week the Dow finished down 3% and was the S&P was down by 2.6%. This is the first losing week in 5 weeks.
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Chris Caton's 19 June 2009 update
In Europe the FTSE and the German markets were up, that lead was followed in the US where the Dow and the S&P finished up by .75%. The Australian market will open up, with the AUD sitting at US 79.9 cents.
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Chris Caton's 18 June 2009 update
There is very little to report from the US markets overnight.The Dow and the S&P finished down .1%. The CPI results for the month of May showed the headline index and the core index up by 0.1%. The Australian market is expected to open down today for the fourth consecutive day.
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Chris Caton's 17 June 2009 update
The US market fell again, the Dow and the S&P finished down by 1.3%. There is an emerging view that the market has come a long way in a short period of time, with the S&P still sitting 35% up from it's early March low.
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Chris Caton's 16 June 2009 update
It was a quiet end to a quiet week with the Dow finishing up .4% and the S&P up by .6%. There is some evidence that consumer confidence is coming back. There will be some important economic news released in the US market this week for the month of May, with housing starts likely to show a gain, and industrial production is still falling. The AUD finished on Friday at US 81.2 cents.
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Chris Caton's 15 June 2009 update
It was a quiet end to a quiet week with the Dow finishing up .4% and the S&P up by .6%. There is some evidence that consumer confidence is coming back. There will be some important economic news released in the US market this week for the month of May, with housing starts likely to show a gain, and industrial production is still falling. The AUD finished on Friday at US 81.2 cents.
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Chris Caton's 12 June 2009 update
International markets we up overnight. The FTSE was up by .5% and the German market up 1%. The Dow finished up .4% and the S&P by .6%. A good piece of economic news shows the first rise in retail sales since January, although this could be because of the rise in gasoline prices. Due to commodity prices rising the AUD is gaining value, and is sitting at US 81.9 cents.
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Chris Caton's 11 June 2009 update
The European markets had a good night. The FTSE was up by .7% and the German market up over 1%. That lead was not followed in the US, the Dow finished down by -.3% and the S&P by -.4%. The AUD is sitting at US 80.2 cents. The Labour market report for the month of May is released today, with the unemployment rate expected to rise.
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Chris Caton's 10 June 2009 update
There was not much movement in the US market overnight. The Dow finished almost unchanged and the S&P up by .4%. Commodity prices rose overnight which will get the Australian market off to a good start. The Australian dollar is sitting at US 80.2 cents.
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Chris Thompson's 9 June 2009 update
Economic news out of the US on Friday showed a fall in jobs of 345,000 per month, the smallest drop since September 2008. The US stock market also continued its fightback with 1 point gain in the Dow Jones. The Australian dollar is back to under US 80 cents and commodity prices are under pressure.
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Chris Caton's 5 June 2009 update
The US had yet another good trading session, with the Dow up 0.9% and the S&P 500 Index up 1.2% on the night.
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Chris Caton's 3 June 2009 update
US markets had a quiet night, with the Dow and S&P finishing up 0.02%. There was more favourable economic news out of the US, with pending home sales data showing a steady climb across the month.
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Chris Caton's 2 June 2009 update
It was another good night on Wall Street with the Dow up close to 3% or around about 250 points and the NASDAQ also up close to 3%.
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Chris Caton's 1 June 2009 update
It was another good night in the US, with markets recording their third consecutive day of positive growth. The S&P 500 finished up 1.4% for the week, bolstered by improved data on US GDP figures - now revised down from -6.1% to -5.7% for the year.
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Chris Caton's 29 May 2009 update
US markets continued their zig zag again overnight, with the Dow Jones up 1.3% and S&P up 1.5%. That means markets were up Tuesday, down Wednesday and up again Thursday. Anyone for a guess what will happen overnight tonight?
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Chris Caton's 28 May 2009 update
US markets reflected almost a mirror image of the previous day's trading, with the Dow and S&P both falling around 2%. This time the falls were less about economic news and more about 10 year bond and interest rates, which have spiked sharply in the past few days.
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Chris Caton's 27 May 2009 update
International markets were flooded in a sea of green figures overnight, with the UK, US and European markets all climbing higher after the long weekend. US consumer confidence is also on the rise, back to September 2008 levels. More evidence that we're getting closer to the start of the end of the recession in the US?
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Chris Caton's 25 May 2009 update
US markets eased into the Memorial Day long weekend with a slow finish to the week. In a scorecard only Richie Benaud would enjoy, the Dow finished down .2%, the NASDAQ finished down .2% and the S&P finished down .2%. That's 2,2,2.
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Chris Caton's 22 May 2009 update
The UK's FTSE fell heavily overnight after the S&P ratings agency took the unusual step of putting the Government's credit rating on 'watch'. Not surprisingly, the US also softened, with the Dow Jones falling 1.5%. New figures in the US show that jobless claims have increased, mainly caused by the Chrysler bankruptcy. Commodity prices also weakened.
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Chris Caton's 21 May 2009 update
A little softness has crept into US markets, with the Dow down again - only 0.6%. Concerns were based on rhetoric about the recovery from the Federal Reserve, which is yet to buy into the 'all is well' argument. Australian markets shouldn't follow the US down, mainly because commodity prices - gold, oil in particular - rising strongly overnight.
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Chris Caton's 20 May 2009 update
European markets closed higher overnight but US markets fell - only slightly. The economic news was also mixed, with reports that commercial property values have further to fall, and US housing starts are now at an all time low. Bearing in mind this weak news, it's a surprise US markets didn't fall further.
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Chris Caton's 19 May 2009 update
The US had a good night, closing 3% higher on stronger news about housing. Victory for the Congress party in India led to a 17% increase in the Indian market, and European markets also did well, with the FTSE up by more than 2% and the DAX up by 2%. The Australian market is off to a good start this morning and the Australian dollar is up to US 76.5 cents.
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Chris Caton's 18 May 2009 update
Friday was another soft night for the US markets. The Dow fell by .8% and the S&P down by 1.1%. These are relatively small movements. The S&P fell by 5% last week, after having risen by 6% the week before. US CPI for April showed a flat result, the core rate rounded up to 0.3% rather than 0.2%. Most of this was due to an increase in tax on tobacco. The Australian dollar now sits just below US 75 cents.
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Chris Caton's 15 May 2009 update
The US market rose overnight. The Dow was up by .6% of a percent and the S&P up by 1%, which is now up 32% from the early March low. No particular economic news driving this. Unemployment insurance is up by 36,000, a lot of this will reflect the close down of auto plants due to the Chrysler bankruptcy. The Australian dollar is back up to US 76 cents.
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Chris Caton's 14 May 2009 update
European and US markets were both down overnight, with Dow falling by around 2%. As I suggested in my Monday report, the falls are probably due to profit-taking, which shouldn't be surprising given how far the market has come in such a short period of time. The Australian market should open lower, with the Australian dollar hovering around US 75 cents.
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Chris Caton's 13 May 2009 update
The session in the US market was reasonably un-eventful. The market closed fairly close to flat. The DOW was up by .6%, mainly because investors bought defensive stocks, and the S&P finished down slightly. Figures show the US had an increase in trade deficit in the month of March, it has improved enormously in recent months. The Australian budget was released last night. We have a big deficit this year, with a stimulatory budget in the early years to fight the recession.
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Chris Caton's 12 May 2009 update
Overnight London was down by .6% of a percent, Germany was down by 1%, France down by 1.9%. The losses continued in the US with the DOW down by 1.8%, S&P down by 2.2%. The Australian market is also off to a soft start, opening lower. The Australian Budget is released at 7.30pm tonight, and it looks as if the deficit will be around $58b. Markets have come a long way in such a short period of time.
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Chris Caton's 11 May 2009 update
US markets had another good session, for the night the Dow finished up by 2% and S&P by 2.4%. For the week the Dow was up by 4.4% and the S&P by 5.9%, and that is the 8th up week in the past 9 and relative to its early March low the S&P index is now up more than 37%. New economic data also suggests that we are getting closer to the beginning of the end of the recession.
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Chris Caton's 8 May 2009 update
US markets fell overnight, wiping out the gains of the previous day. The Dow fell 1.2%, the S&P 500 was down 1.3% and more importantly, the NASDAQ was also down 2.4%. There was no obvious reason for the falls and no obvious cause for alarm.
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Chris Caton's 7 May 2009 update
It was another solid day of trading overnight in the US, with the Dow up 1.2% and the S&P 500 up 1.7%. Much of this activity was attributed to new data showing that job losses in the US for the month of April hit 490,000 - a big number but not as big as expected.
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Chris Caton's 6 May 2009 update
US market shortly before the close down slightly, nothing too much to worry about in either direction, and the Australian dollar back above 74 cents around about 74.2.
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Chris Caton's 5 May 2009 update
Signs of a recovery continue in the US, with the overnight gains (Dow Jones up 2.5%, S&P 500 up more than 3.0%) pushing US markets to their highest point for the year. European markets are also in the green and this momentum should also translate onto the Australian market.
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Chris Caton's 4 May 2009 update
US markets closed the week up 1.5%, with the S&P Index now sitting almost 30% above its low in early March - that should translate into a good day on Australian markets. There is a lot of data about the Australian economy this week, including retail trade, building approvals and perhaps most importantly our labour market information for the month of April.
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Chris Caton's 1 May 2009 update
Nothing much happened in US markets overnight, with the Dow off just 0.2% and the S&P off 0.1%. For the month of April the S&P rose by 9.4% and that is its biggest rise for nine years.
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Chris Caton's 30 April 2009 update
The Australian market should get off to a good start today following more positive news out of the US. The Dow Jones closed Thursday's session up 1.9% and the S&P 500 finished 2.0% higher.
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Chris Caton's 29 April 2009 update
The overnight action in the US was minimal with markets doing very little. The pause creates an opportunity to look at some other US economic indicators that might offer a ray of hope: the Case-Shiller Home Price Index shows the decline in house prices is slowing, while there are signs that US consumer confidence is improving.
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Chris Caton's 28 April 2009 update
US markets were down overnight, with the Dow Jones falling 0.6% and the S&P 500 by 1%. This time there was a new reason for the downturn: swine flu. Sick pigs pulled airline stocks, travel companies and world growth expectations lower. When you consider how quickly the 'swine flu' story has emerged, and how severe it could be, the fall in US market was surprisingly small.
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Chris Caton's 27 April 2009 update
After finishing higher for six consecutive weeks - a feat not seen since 1938 - the US market closed last week slightly lower. This week, expect a little more fluctuation following the release of estimates of GDP growth for the first quarter of 2009.
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Chris Caton's 24 April 2009 update
Europe down - FTSE down 0.3% and DAX 1% - but a reasonably firm US market - Dow up by 0.9% and the S&P by around 1%. - should get us off to a good start today.
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Chris Thompson's 22 April 2009 update
Bank shares rallied strongly overnight to reverse some of the falls of the day before, in response to comments by the US Treatury Secretary that most of the banks were well capitalised.
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Chris Thompson's 21 April 2009 update
I think we'll need to fasten our seatbelts for our market today. The SPI Futures are 71 points lower indicating that way.
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Chris Thompson's 20 April 2009 update
Markets are in somewhat of a holding pattern as they await some significant market indicators. On Friday night the Dow hung on to its 6 point gain and the S&P was up 0.5%.
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Chris Thompson's 17 April 2009 update
Better than expected earnings from JP Morgan and stability in employment and housing saw the Dow finish up 1.1% and the S&P up 1.6%.
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Chris Thompson's 16 April 2009 update
US markets took half a step forward with good stock news, notably Proctor and Gamble are increasing dividends by 10%. The Dow was up 1.4% and the S&P was up 1%.
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Chris Caton's 15 April 2009 update
Some financial sector profit taking and new economic information has pushed US markets one step back after its two steps forward. The Dow fell 1.7% and the S&P fell 2%.
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Chris Caton's 14 April 2009 update
Tale of two halves for the US market. On Thursday the Dow Jones (3.1%) and S&P (3.8%) were driven up by Wells Fargo's earnings announcement, while Monday was close to uneventful.
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Chris Caton's 9 April 2009 update
A quiet night overseas but the SPI Futures Index is up about 45 points which suggests we will open more strongly today.
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Chris Caton's 8 April 2009 update
The fall in the US market doesn't auger well for the Australian market. The SPI Futures Index is down more than a point and a half, more than a per cent and a half. So it looks like we will open lower.
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Chris Caton's 7 April 2009 update
A not-so-bad analyst report and rumour of a takeover break down get the credit for the US market falling nearly 2% before rallying to close around half a percent.
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Chris Caton's 6 April 2009 update
US markets stayed flat for most of Friday, but did finish slightly higher to close the week up 3%. The S&P 500 Index is now up around 25% from its low point one month ago.
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Chris Thompson's 3 April 2009 update
Investors piled back into the market overnight, and the hard numbers are starting to add up. In the US the Dow (2.8%), S&P 500 (2.9%) and NASDAQ (3.3%) all closed higher. It was the same story in Europe, with the German DAX (6%), France's CAC (5.4) and the FTSE (4.5%) also recording strong gains.
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Chris Caton's 2 April 2009 update
A good night all round for international markets, with Europe up 1%. In the US the Dow Jones (2%) and S&P 500 (1.7%) both gained on economic news that was "bad, but not as bad as expected".
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Chris Caton's 1 April 2009 update
Europe had a good night with most major indexes up. This was followed on in New York which regained some of the ground lost the previous day. For the month of March the DOW was up by 7.7% and that is the best monthly result for 6 years.
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Chris Caton's 31 March update
Concerns about the US automotive sector were renewed after more talk of a GM bail-out package. The Dow Jones fell 3.3%, S&P fell 3.5% and European markets fell 3% to 5%.
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Chris Caton's 30 March update
US markets closed down around 2.0% on Friday but remained up around 6.0% for the week and 20.6% since March 9th. It looks like the 'two steps forward, one step back' approach might continue for a while yet.
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Chris Caton's 27 March update
The rally goes on in the US overnight, which means the S&P 500 is looking at its strongest month since 1974.
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Chris Caton's 26 March update
A reasonably flat day on US markets changed in the last 10 minutes of trading: the Dow and S&P both surged 1.0% to finish higher at the the close.
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Chris Caton's 25 March update
PAs expected European and US markets fell slightly overnight as investors locked in profits from the huge gains of the previous day. The Dow, S&P and FTSE were all down around 1.5%.
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Chris Caton's 24 March update
President Obama's plan to help the ailing US banking system remove 'toxic assets' from balance sheets saw the US market boom overnight, with the Dow rising 6.6% and S&P up 7.0%.
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Chris Caton's 23 March update
The US markets drifted lower (Dow -1.7%, S&P 2%) on an unexciting Friday trade. And there were no news drivers, just the markets reassessing the previous week's slight bounce.
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Chris Caton's 20 March update
The Dow (down 1%) and S&P (down 1.3%) slipped back to their Wednesday positions as the market continues to figure out the impact of the Fed's latest move.
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Chris Caton's 19 March update
An interesting announcement by the US Federal Reserve has pushed the Dow Jones up 1.2% and the Aussie dollar up to US$0.678.
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Chris Thompson's 18 March update
Overnight gains pushed the Dow (2.5%) and S&P (3.2%) higher, and the US market has now risen 15% since March 9. Housing data also improved - have we finally passed the bottom?
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Chris Thompson's 17 March update
Despite Ben Bernanke's positive comments about the banks, the US market hasn't been able to crack a fifth consecutive day of gains - a feat unseen since May.
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Chris Caton's 16 March update
Markets don't turn when they see the light at the end of the tunnel, they turn when the dark is suddenly a little less dark. And we may be close to that point.
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Chris Caton's 13 March update
Friday the 13th should turn out lucky for some - US markets closed higher overnight with the Dow rising 3.5% and the S&P up 4%. Expect the good luck to continue on local markets.
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Chris Caton's 12 March update
US markets were close to flat last night - which is good news considering the previous day's bounce could have seen markets pull back.
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Chris Caton's 11 March update
Finally - some great news. US markets boomed overnight, with the Dow up 5.8% and the S&P up 6.4% following an internal memo from Citibank stating that they'd actually made money. Citibank shares rose 30%, and investors can expect the Australian market to open around 3% higher.
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Chris Thompson's 10 March update
Gloomy sentiment is weighing down markets. Yesterday the World Bank forecast total global growth will be negative this year - a result not seen since WWII.
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Chris Caton's 9 March update
The US had a mixed night, the Dow was up half a percent and the S&P up 0.1. It still made it a pretty poor week with both those indexes down more than 6% so the carnage goes on.
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Chris Thompson's 6 March update
What bounce? Overnight falls in the US have reversed the previous day's gains, and the S&P 500 now sits at 1996 levels.
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Chris Thompson's 5 March update
At last, we got the market bounce we've been waiting for, and it was a strong one at that.
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Chris Thompson's 4 March update
Investors would be hoping for a bounce after the falls of the last few days. The overnight news suggests that wonwas a clear example of t
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Chris Caton's 3 March update
The bad news just doesn't seem to end. AIG's reported loss of $62bn - the biggest loss in US corporate history - saw the Dow fall 4.3% and the S&P drop 4.7%.
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Chris Caton's 2 March update
A bleak day Friday wrapped up a bleak week and month for US markets, with falls in the Dow and S&P and the news the last quarter of 2008 was the worst since 1982...
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Chris Thompson's 27 February update
The US market is heading for a sixth straight monthly decline, as the Dow finished down 1.2% - despite being up 1.8% at one stage, and the S&P finished down 1.6%.
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Chris Thompson's 26 February update
Weakness in US markets was triggered by disappointing news of falling existing home sales in January. After a tospy turvy session, the Dow and S&P ended down 1.1%.
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Chris Thompson's 25 February update
US markets bounced and almost reversed yesterday's losses, following optimism from the US Federal Reserve that they would not nationalise the banking system in the near future.
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Chris Thompson's 24 February update
The S&P 500 has closed at its lowest point since 1997 in a disappointing session for US markets, closing down 3.2% while the Dow Jones closed down 3.4%.
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Chris Caton's 23 February update
US markets have fell heavily during the day following concern of the possible nationalisation of financial firms including the Bank of America and Citibank, but rallied to close just a little more than 1%.
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Chris Thompson's 20 February update
US markets started quite strongly but finished in the red following some weak economic news - the Dow Jones and S&P closed down 1.2%. Earlier, European markets closed slightly stronger.
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Chris Thompson's 19 February update
US markets stabilised after yesterday's plunge - the Dow Jones closed up 0.04% and the S&P up 0.1%. Financials fell further despite announcement of the Obama Government's housing rescue plan.
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Chris Caton's 18 February update
Another poor day in global markets. The US Dow Jones is within a whisker of its low point in November last year, closing down 3.5%, and all major European indices were down more than 2%.
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Chris Thompson's 17 February update
US markets were on holiday overnight with the President's Day long weekend. All European markets were lower by about 1% and US Futures also traded lower overnight.
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Chris Caton's 16 February update
Unease of the US Treasury's bank rescue plan continues to weigh on US markets, resulting in its worst week since November with the S&P down 4.9% for the week.
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Chris Caton's 13 February update
After being down more than 3% with 2 hours left of trade, US markets regained almost all in the last hour to finish almost neutral. Retail sales in January surprised - rising 1% after 6 successive monthly falls.
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Chris Caton's 12 February update
European and US markets were up slightly overnight, with the Dow Jones closing up 0.6%. The US stimulus package is still making its way through the legislative process - when it does we'll possibly see a relief rally.
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Chris Caton's 11 February update
The disappointing bank rescue plan announced by US Treasury and testimony by the Federal Reserve has seen markets react in their worst night since January 20 - the Dow Jones and S&P 500 both dropped around 4.6%.
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Chris Caton's 10 February update
US markets were close to flat overnight as it waits for: President Obama's press conference on the state of the economy, passing of the fiscal package and announcement of a new financial rescue package.
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Chris Caton's 9 February update
US had a good night - Dow Jones up 2.5% and S&P up 2.6%. Weak employment news buoys market belief that stimulus package will pass Congress. Signs emerging that the pace of decline is no longer accelerating.
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Chris Thompson's 6 February update
Chris Thompson: Main economic news came out of the UK overnight, as the Bank of England cut interest rates from 1.5% to 1%. In the US, markets were strong - the Dow Jones was up 1.3% and the S&P up 1.6%.
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Chris Caton's 5 February update
European markets had a good night, as the FTSE and continental markets were up more than 1%. This lead wasn't followed in the US - the Dow Jones was down 1.5% and the S&P down 0.8%.
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Chris Thompson's 4 February update
Good news overnight, with the Dow Jones up 1.8% and the S&P up 1.6%. This was driven by company news - rather than economic news - with healthcare and home building profits being better than analyst expectations.
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Chris Caton's 3 February update
US markets were mixed overnight - with the Dow Jones down 0.8%, the S&P flat, and the Nasdaq up. The Aussie market will open down, but the close will depend on other events,including the RBA decision on interest rates.
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Chris Caton's 2 February update
Despite US GDP figures being better than expected, the 3.8% drop for the last quarter of 2008 still had US markets in the red, with the S&P down 2.2% and the Dow Jones down 1.8%.
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Chris Thompson's 30 January update
A four-day rising streak in US markets has been broken, following news of an increase in people collecting unemployment benefits and worse-than-expected new homes sales data. The Dow Jones fell 2.7% and S&P fell 3.3%.
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Chris Caton's 29 January update
While I've been proven wrong before, it's starting to look like last Friday was the low point in financial markets as the US closed up for the fourth day in a row. The S&P was up 3.4% and the Dow Jones was up 2.5%.
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Chris Caton's 28 January update
US markets were up for the third day in a row as the S&P closed up 1.1% and the Dow Jones 0.7%. Economic news overnight wasn't really news - consumer confidence dropped in January and housing prices continue to fall.
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Chris Caton's 27 January update
The FTSE closed up more than 4% overnight following news that Barclays Bank in the UK made significant profit in 2008. This news also helped US markets as the S&P 500 gained 0.5%.
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Chris Caton's 23 January update
Another weak night in US markets, driven by Microsoft's announcement of lower earnings and job cuts, as well as a further fall in housing starts for the month of December. The Dow Jones closed down 1.2% and the S&P down 1.5%.
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Chris Caton's 22 January update
Day to day market volatility saw US markets undo most (but not all) of the damage from Tuesday. The Dow Jones closed up a little over 3.5% and the S&P closed up 4.4%.
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Chris Caton's 21 January update
US markets took no comfort in Barack Obama's inauguration, instead reacting to the loss announced by the Royal Bank of Scotland the day before. The Dow Jones fell over 4% and the S&P fell 5.3%.
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Chris Caton's 19 January update
The Dow Jones and the S&P 500 both finished up by 0.8% on Friday - despite news that industrial production, manufacturing production and the CPI fell for the month of December.
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Chris Thompson's 16 January update
After the European Central Bank cut interest rates by half a percent overnight, European markets closed down between 1% and 2%. US markets were volatile all day but managed to just finish in positive territory.
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Chris Thompson's 15 January update
The US consumer is cutting back more than expected, as retails sales for December declined 2.7%. Not surprisingly, this news has spooked equity markets - the Dow Jones fell 2.9% and the S&P fell 3.4%.
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Chris Thompson's 14 January update
It was a quiet night in overseas markets with little economic and market news. After a weak afternoon in trade, the US Dow Jones recovered in the last hour to close 26 points down, while the S&P closed up 0.2%.
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Chris Thompson's 13 January update
Overnight markets saw weakness in commodities as the price of oil fell 7% to under $40 a barrel, and gold dropped US$35 to US$820. In equity markets, the Dow Jones was down 1.5% and the S&P was down 2.3%.
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Chris Thompson's 12 January update
The Dow Jones closed down 1.6% and the S&P down 2.1% after employment numbers released on Friday showed the US economy lost 2.6 million jobs in 2008 - the biggest decline since 1925.
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Dr Chris Caton's 9 January update
As the Bank of England cut UK interest rates to their lowest level ever, European markets finished slightly down overnight. In the US, the Dow Jones closed down 0.3% while the S&P closed up 0.3%.
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Dr Chris Caton's 8 January update
The US market had a negative night, following a forecast that payroll employment could decline by a massive 700,000 in the month of December. The Dow Jones fell 2.8% and the S&P fell 3%.
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Dr Chris Caton's 7 January update
A good night overseas should set up the Australian market for further gains today. In economic news, the index measuring sentiment in the US service sector was not as bad as expected - following the trend of recent economic data.
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Dr Chris Caton's 6 January update
US markets were down overnight for a change, but not hugely. The Dow Jones fell just 0.9% and the S&P fell 0.5%, possibly due to concern about events in Gaza - not because of economic news.
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Dr Chris Caton's 5 January update
US markets have got the first trading day of 2009 off to a good start, as the Dow Jones closes up 2.9% and the S&P closes up 3.2%...
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Dr Chris Caton's 2 January update
The year in financial markets may have been very poor but the last day of trade was reasonably good. In the US, the Dow Jones was up 1.3% and the S&P by 1.4%...
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